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Politicslive
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
$36.4M
volume
$784K
liquidity
ends Dec 31
closes
2
outcomes
The odds
No
95%Yes
6%Build a bet
fair odds · liveYour side
Your stake (credits)0 available
you stake
100
No
fair counter
6
on Yes
you win
+6
if you're right
your odds
1.06×
decimal
The market makes No almost a lock — about 17 in 18 (95%). Risk 100 and a fair opponent puts up 6 on Yes — even money, no house.
Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.