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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$16.4M
volume
$255K
liquidity
ends Nov 8
closes
2
outcomes
The odds
No
61%Yes
39%Build a bet
fair odds · liveYour side
Your stake (credits)0 available
you stake
100
No
fair counter
64
on Yes
you win
+64
if you're right
your odds
1.64×
decimal
The market makes No slightly favored — about 2 in 3 (61%). Risk 100 and a fair opponent puts up 64 on Yes — even money, no house.
Resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.