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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

$15.5M
volume
$358K
liquidity
ends Nov 7
closes
2
outcomes

The odds

Yes
53%
No
47%

Build a bet

fair odds · live
Your side
Your stake (credits)0 available
you stake
100
Yes
fair counter
89
on No
you win
+89
if you're right
your odds
1.89×
decimal

The market makes Yes a coin flip — about 1 in 2 (53%). Risk 100 and a fair opponent puts up 89 on No — even money, no house.

Resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.